Mega Evolution is one of the most-opened sets right now. Here's how to correctly read its pull rates and avoid common misconceptions.
Rarity distribution in me1
The rare+ slot is shared between Rare, Double Rare, Ultra Rare, Illustration Rare, SIR and Mega Hyper Rare. Premium hits remain naturally rare — but the set's iconic Pokémon (Mega Charizard, Mega Lucario, Mega Mewtwo) make every pull exciting.
- Rare: ~46% of rare+ slot
- Double Rare: ~24% — most common 'hit'
- Ultra Rare: ~14% — roughly 1 per 7 packs
- Illustration Rare: ~10% — 1 per 10 packs
- SIR (Special Illustration Rare): ~4.5% — 1 every ~22 packs
- Mega Hyper Rare: ~0.5% — 1 every ~200 packs
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Best me1 products
Pokémon TCG: Mega Evolution—Perfect Order Elite Trainer Box
9 packs$91.88
Pokemon TCG Holiday 2024 Calendar
25 packsSee price on Amazon
Pokemon TCG: Sealed 3-Booster Pack Lot | 30 Cards, Random Rare, Holo, V, VMAX, VSTAR Odds
9 packs$27.80
Pokémon TCG: Trainer’s Toolkit
4 packs$39.99
Pokémon TCG: Mega Kangaskhan ex Box
9 packs$50.88
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Mega Evolution (me1) pull rates — expectation per product
Mega Evolution (me1) pull rates — expectation per product
| Product | Boosters | Double Rare | SIR | Mega Hyper Rare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single me1 booster | 1 | ~0.24 | ~0.045 | ~0.005 |
| Integral ETB | 9 | ~2.2 | ~0.4 | ~0.045 |
| Charizard box (6 boosters) | 6 | ~1.4 | ~0.27 | ~0.03 |
| Ultra Premium Collection | 18 | ~4.3 | ~0.8 | ~0.09 |
Average number of rare+ cards expected based on sealed product opened.
FAQ
What's the full rare+ slot distribution in me1?
Rare ~46%, Double Rare ~24%, Ultra Rare ~14%, Illustration Rare ~10%, SIR ~4.5%, Mega Hyper Rare ~0.5%. Double Rares are the most frequent hit (~1 every 4 packs), Mega Hyper Rares the rarest (~1 every 200 packs).
How many premium hits to expect in a 9-pack me1 ETB?
On average: ~2 Double Rares, ~1.3 Ultra Rares, ~0.9 Illustration Rares, ~0.4 SIRs and ~0.045 Mega Hyper Rares. A 'normal' ETB thus contains 3–4 visually interesting rare+ cards, with no SIR guarantee.
Can you draw conclusions from a single me1 ETB?
No. A single 9-pack box can yield 0 SIRs or 1 SIR through pure variance. The rateTCG model describes an average over hundreds of openings. For reliable reading, base yourself on 50+ packs or displayed expectations.
Which me1 product offers the best volume for pull rates?
The Mega Charizard Ultra Premium Collection (18 boosters) doubles the expectation of every premium hit versus the ETB. The integral ETB (9 boosters) remains the best volume/price ratio to explore me1.
Calculate your pull rates
Search any Pokémon card on rateTCG to estimate pull rates per product and compare Amazon prices.
